Sunday, September 21, 2025

Probability Basics

Probability Basics

Understanding chance, likelihood, and uncertainty

What is Probability?

Probability is the measure of the likelihood that an event will occur. It is quantified as a number between 0 and 1, where 0 indicates impossibility and 1 indicates certainty.

0 (Impossible) 0.5 (Even Chance) 1 (Certain)

P(Event) = Number of favorable outcomes / Total number of possible outcomes

Basic Probability Concepts

Experiment: A process that produces an outcome (e.g., rolling a die)

Outcome: A possible result of an experiment (e.g., rolling a 4)

Sample Space: The set of all possible outcomes (e.g., {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6} for a die)

Event: A set of outcomes (e.g., rolling an even number)

Example: Coin Toss

When flipping a fair coin:

Sample Space = {Heads, Tails}

P(Heads) = 1/2 = 0.5

P(Tails) = 1/2 = 0.5

Probability Rules

Rule 1: The probability of an impossible event is 0

Rule 2: The probability of a certain event is 1

Rule 3: The probability of any event is between 0 and 1

Rule 4: The sum of probabilities of all possible outcomes is 1

Rule 5: P(not A) = 1 - P(A)

Coin Flip Simulation

Click the button to flip a coin and see the results:

H
T

Results:

Heads: 0/0

Tails: 0/0

P(Heads) = 0

P(Tails) = 0

Dice Roll Simulation

Click the button to roll a die and see the results:

1
?

Results:

1
2
3
4
5
6

Total Rolls: 0

Probability Calculator

Calculate the probability of an event:

Result:

P(Event) = 0

Percentage: 0%

Probability Basics | Mathematics Learning Resource

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