The Shifting Triangle: India, the Taliban, and Pakistan
The growing closeness between India and the Taliban is one of the most significant geopolitical shifts in South Asia, driven primarily by the rapid deterioration of ties between the Taliban and its traditional benefactor, Pakistan. This has created a strategic opening for India to re-establish its influence in Afghanistan.
The table below summarizes the key aspects of this evolving triangular relationship:
| Aspect | 🤝 India-Taliban Relations | ⚔️ Pakistan-Taliban Relations |
|---|---|---|
| Historical Role | Opposed Taliban (supported Northern Alliance); provided ~$3B in aid to previous govt. | Main creator and supporter of Taliban for "strategic depth" against India. |
| Current State | Growing: Upgraded mission to embassy (Oct 2025); high-level visits; development/humanitarian aid. | Hostile: Frequent border clashes, airstrikes; diplomatic war of words over terrorism. |
| Core Conflict | Countering Pakistan's influence and securing Indian interests. | Taliban's refusal to curb the Pakistani Taliban (TTP), which uses Afghan soil for attacks. |
| Key Drivers | Geopolitical: A shared interest in pushing back against Pakistan. Economic: Access to Central Asia via Iran's Chabahar Port. | Territorial: Disputed Durand Line border; Taliban refuses to recognize it. Security: Pakistan's cross-border strikes to target TTP. |
🏛️ The Rupture: Why Pakistan and the Taliban Fell Out
The "honeymoon" period following the Taliban's 2021 takeover was short-lived. The primary point of contention is the Pakistani Taliban (Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan, or TTP). This group, an ideological offshoot of the Afghan Taliban, has intensified attacks on Pakistani security forces from its safe havens in Afghanistan. Despite Pakistan's demands, the Afghan Taliban refuses to take action against them, viewing the TTP more as brothers in arms than a terrorist group.
This disagreement has led to unprecedented military escalation. Since early 2024, Pakistan has conducted airstrikes inside Afghanistan, and the Taliban has retaliated by attacking Pakistani border posts. A key moment was in October 2025, when Pakistan carried out airstrikes on Kabul just hours after the Taliban's foreign minister arrived in India for a historic visit. Furthermore, the dispute over the colonial-era Durand Line border continues to poison relations. The Taliban, like previous Afghan governments, refuses to recognize it as an international border, leading to tensions over fencing and border control.
🇮🇳 India's Pivot: From Opposition to Pragmatic Engagement
For India, the breakdown of the Pakistan-Taliban relationship presented a strategic opportunity. New Delhi has shifted from a policy of isolating the Taliban to one of "pragmatic engagement" without formal recognition. The landmark visit of Afghan Foreign Minister Amir Khan Muttaqi to India in October 2025 marked a turning point. During this visit, India announced it would upgrade its technical mission in Kabul to a full-fledged embassy. The Taliban minister also made a symbolic visit to the Darul Uloom Deoband seminary, signaling a cultural and religious outreach.
Experts point to a simple, powerful dynamic: "the enemy of my enemy is my friend." Both New Delhi and Kabul share an interest in countering Pakistan's influence and applying strategic pressure. For India, this engagement helps counter Pakistan's historical advantage in Afghanistan, while for the Taliban, it provides leverage in its own difficult negotiations with Islamabad. India also has defensive concerns, seeking to ensure that Afghan soil is not used for anti-India militancy. Economically, India aims to protect its past investments and use Afghanistan as a gateway to Central Asia, particularly through the Chabahar Port in Iran, bypassing Pakistan.
🏗️ Tangible Outcomes of the Thaw
The improved ties have already produced concrete results. India has committed to new health infrastructure projects, including an oncology center in Kabul and maternity clinics in provinces that have been targets of Pakistani airstrikes (Paktika, Khost, Paktia). Additionally, the two countries agreed to restart the India-Afghanistan Air Freight Corridor to facilitate trade in goods like fresh and dry fruits, with bilateral trade reaching nearly $1 billion in 2025.
In summary, the India-Taliban rapprochement is a direct consequence of the failed Pakistan-Taliban alliance. It is a classic realignment driven by national interests, where a shared adversary has paved the way for a new, albeit complex, partnership.
Would you like to delve deeper into the specific role of the TTP or the economic potential of the Chabahar route?