Sunday, November 30, 2025

Cartel Activities in Venezuela

Cartel Activities in Venezuela

Cartel activities in Venezuela are primarily centered in specific border regions, coastal areas, and key transportation hubs. These operations are largely controlled by networks of corrupt state officials and powerful criminal organizations.

Primary Hubs of Criminal Activity

Region/Area Key Locations Primary Criminal Activities Main Groups Involved
Western Border States Zulia, Apure, Táchira states; border with Colombia Cocaine transit, clandestine airstrips for drug flights, armed group presence FARC dissidents, ELN, Venezuelan military factions
Northeastern Coastal Areas Sucre state (e.g., San Juan de Unare, Paria Peninsula) Maritime drug trafficking to the Caribbean Tren de Aragua
Major Ports & Airports Puerto Cabello port, Simón Bolívar International Airport Authorizing and protecting drug shipments in official cargo Elements of the Bolivarian National Armed Forces (FANB)
Prisons & Urban Centers Tocorón Prison (Aragua state); major cities Extortion, kidnapping, human trafficking, migrant smuggling Tren de Aragua

Key Groups and Their Geographic Influence

The criminal landscape in Venezuela is dominated by two main types of actors: corrupt state networks and powerful prison-based gangs.

The "Cartel of the Suns": This is not a traditional cartel but a network of corrupt officials within the Venezuelan military, government, and security forces. The name comes from the sun insignia on generals' uniforms. Their activities include providing safe passage for drug shipments, manipulating air defense radar to allow cocaine flights, and authorizing drug-laden cargo from official ports and airports. U.S. authorities allege this network involves top officials.

Tren de Aragua: Venezuela's most powerful homegrown criminal gang, which originated in the Tocorón prison. While its national power was somewhat disrupted after the government retook the prison in 2023, it remains a major threat. The gang has a strong presence in Aragua, Carabobo, Sucre, and Bolívar states. It has expanded its operations abroad by following migration routes to countries like Colombia, Peru, and Chile.

Venezuela's Role in Global Drug Routes

Venezuela's geographic position makes it a strategic transit country for drugs.

A Transit Hub: Venezuela is a major transit point for cocaine, primarily from neighboring Colombia. While most U.S.-bound cocaine travels via the Pacific Ocean, Venezuela is a significant route for cocaine destined for Europe.

International Designations: The U.S. government has designated the "Cartel of the Suns" and the Tren de Aragua as terrorist organizations, alleging they have corrupted state institutions to facilitate drug trafficking and other criminal enterprises.

Saturday, November 29, 2025

Migration from Chile to Peru

Migration from Chile to Peru: Key Drivers

Primary Factors Driving Migration

Political Climate in Chile

Presidential candidate José Antonio Kast's campaign promises to detain and expel undocumented migrants if he wins have created fear and uncertainty, driving migrants to leave Chile voluntarily before potential forced deportations.

Migrant Composition

Mostly Venezuelans who originally fled economic and political crisis in their home country. This large, specific group feels targeted by the anti-immigration rhetoric and is seeking a safer route, often back toward their home country.

Peru's Response

Peru declared a 60-day state of emergency on its southern border, deploying the military to reinforce border control. This has stranded migrants in border areas, with Peru explicitly stating it lacks the capacity to accept more undocumented migrants.

A Reversal of Migration Patterns

This situation represents a reversal of traditional migration flows in the region. For years, Chile has been a destination for hundreds of thousands of migrants, including many Venezuelans, because it is one of Latin America's most stable and prosperous nations. The current exodus from Chile back toward Peru and other northern countries underscores how quickly political rhetoric can alter regional migration dynamics.

Key Context and Implications

The Catalyst is Fear

The primary driver is not a current policy, but the fear of a potential future one under a Kast presidency. His campaign videos have given undocumented migrants an ultimatum to leave voluntarily or face detention and expulsion with "only the clothes on your back".

A Regional Challenge

This event highlights the broader migration challenges in South America. Peru is simultaneously a country of origin, transit, and destination for migrants and has received over 1.5 million Venezuelans since 2015. Its declaration of a state of emergency shows the strain that shifting migration patterns place on neighboring countries.

Humanitarian Concerns

Chilean officials have expressed concern that "rhetoric sometimes has consequences" and have emphasized the need to prevent a humanitarian crisis, as migrants are left stranded between borders.

Crisis in the Lake Chad Basin

Crisis in the Lake Chad Basin: A Consolidated View

The conflict in the Lake Chad Basin is a complex interplay of intense military challenges and profound humanitarian issues, each exacerbating the other. The situation is driven by non-state armed groups, environmental stress, and systemic governance failures.

Key Issues at a Glance

Humanitarian Crisis: Approximately 2.9 million Internally Displaced Persons (IDPs); 330,000 refugees; widespread malnutrition and the closure of over 1,800 schools.

Security Situation: Active insurgency by Boko Haram factions (JAS and ISWAP); sophisticated tactics including IEDs and drones; operational challenges for the regional Multinational Joint Task Force (MNJTF).p>

Root Causes: Ecological collapse (Lake Chad has shrunk ~90% since the 1960s), extreme poverty, and long-term state neglect.

Military and Security Landscape

Non-State Armed Groups

The primary instigators of violence are Jama’atu Ahlis Sunna Lidda’awati wal-Jihad (JAS, commonly known as Boko Haram) and the Islamic State West Africa Province (ISWAP). These groups have evolved from pure ideological movements to operating a brutal, extractive economy. They impose taxes on fishing, farming, and trade, controlling key markets and smuggling corridors. Their tactics have advanced to include the widespread use of improvised explosive devices (IEDs), night vision gear, and armed drones.

Regional Military Response

The Multinational Joint Task Force (MNJTF), comprising troops from Cameroon, Chad, Niger, and Nigeria, is the primary security mechanism. However, it faces critical capability gaps, including a lack of specialized counter-IED equipment, dedicated attack aircraft, and anti-drone technology. The force's cohesion is also threatened by political instability, notably Niger's withdrawal in March 2025, which has created a significant security vacuum.

Humanitarian and Human Cost

Displacement and Vulnerability

The violence has directly caused one of the world's most severe humanitarian disasters. There are an estimated 2.9 million people internally displaced across the region and 330,000 refugees. This displacement has disrupted education for an entire generation, with 1,827 schools closed due to violence, primarily in Chad. Furthermore, an estimated 220,000 children suffer from severe acute malnutrition.

Environmental and Governance Drivers

A key underlying driver is the ecological collapse of Lake Chad itself, which has shrunk dramatically since the 1960s due to climate change and water diversion. This has destroyed livelihoods for millions who depended on fishing, farming, and herding, intensifying competition for scarce resources. These problems are compounded by extreme poverty, corruption, and a lack of transparent governance, which erode public trust in the state.

Integrated Path Forward

A military-only approach is widely seen as insufficient. A sustainable solution requires integrating security, development, and governance efforts. The Regional Strategy for Stabilisation, Recovery, and Resilience (RS-SRR) is the main framework for this, aiming to address root causes by focusing on community reconstruction, providing livelihood opportunities, and reintegrating former combatants. Ultimately, breaking the cycle of violence requires rebuilding trust between the state and local communities through investment in climate-resilient agriculture and ensuring that economic development benefits local populations transparently.

Friday, November 28, 2025

Descartes' Rational Skepticism - Discourse on the Method

Rational Skepticism

Descartes' Methodological Doubt in "Discourse on the Method"

René Descartes (1596-1650)

Descartes' Project of Radical Doubt

"I thought that I had to... reject as absolutely false everything in which I could imagine the least doubt, so as to see if afterwards there remained anything in my belief that was entirely certain."

In his seminal work "Discourse on the Method" (1637), René Descartes embarked on a revolutionary philosophical project: to establish a secure foundation for knowledge by subjecting all beliefs to systematic doubt. Unlike skepticism for its own sake, Descartes employed doubt as a methodological tool to discover what could be known with absolute certainty.

This approach, known as methodological skepticism or Cartesian doubt, was not meant to lead to permanent uncertainty but to clear away unreliable beliefs to make room for genuine knowledge.

The Context of Descartes' Skepticism

Descartes was writing during a period of intellectual upheaval. The Scientific Revolution was challenging traditional Aristotelian views, and religious conflicts were shaking established authorities. In this context, Descartes sought to establish a new foundation for knowledge that didn't rely on tradition or authority but on the individual's capacity for reason.

The Three Stages of Doubt

Systematic Deconstruction of Belief

Descartes methodically dismantles his existing beliefs through three progressively radical stages of doubt:

1
Sensory Deception

Our senses sometimes deceive us (a straight stick appears bent in water, distant objects appear small). If senses have deceived us before, we cannot fully trust them.

2
Dream Uncertainty

There are no definitive signs to distinguish waking experience from vivid dreams. How can we be certain we're not dreaming right now?

3
Evil Demon Hypothesis

What if an omnipotent evil demon is systematically deceiving us about everything, including mathematical truths and logical reasoning?

Key Distinction: Methodological vs. Philosophical Skepticism

Unlike philosophical skeptics who doubt the possibility of certain knowledge, Descartes uses doubt as a methodological tool. His doubt is provisional, aimed at discovering indubitable foundations for knowledge, not at remaining in a state of permanent uncertainty.

The Discovery of Certainty: Cogito Ergo Sum

I think, therefore I am
Cogito, ergo sum

After applying his method of radical doubt to all his beliefs, Descartes discovers one truth that withstands even the most extreme skepticism: the fact of his own existence as a thinking thing.

Even if an evil demon is deceiving him about everything, there must be something that is being deceived. The very act of doubting presupposes a doubter. Thinking requires a thinker.

"But I immediately noticed that while I was trying thus to think everything false, it was necessary that I, who was thinking this, was something. And observing that this truth 'I think, therefore I am' was so firm and sure that all the most extravagant suppositions of the skeptics were incapable of shaking it, I decided that I could accept it without scruple as the first principle of the philosophy I was seeking."

The Nature of the Thinking Self

Descartes concludes that he is essentially a "thinking thing" (res cogitans). His existence is not dependent on having a body (which could be an illusion) but on his capacity for thought, which includes doubting, understanding, affirming, denying, willing, imagining, and having sensory experiences.

The Four Rules of Method

Having established the indubitable foundation of the Cogito, Descartes outlines four precepts to guide the pursuit of knowledge:

Rule Description Application
Evidence Accept nothing as true that is not clearly and distinctly known to be true Avoid prejudice and hasty judgment; accept only what presents itself so clearly and distinctly to the mind that there can be no reason to doubt it
Analysis Divide each difficulty into as many parts as possible Break down complex problems into simpler constituent parts that can be more easily solved
Synthesis Direct thoughts in an orderly manner Begin with the simplest and most easily known objects and ascend gradually to knowledge of the more complex
Enumeration Make enumerations so complete and reviews so comprehensive Ensure nothing is omitted through thorough checks and systematic reviews of reasoning

Rebuilding Knowledge

From the foundation of the Cogito, Descartes begins to rebuild knowledge. He reasons that the idea of perfection he finds in his mind (the idea of God) could not come from an imperfect being like himself, so it must come from an actually perfect being—God. Since a perfect God would not be a deceiver, Descartes can then trust his clear and distinct perceptions, reinstating knowledge of the external world, mathematics, and science.

Legacy and Impact

Descartes' methodological skepticism fundamentally reshaped Western philosophy and established the framework for modern epistemology.

Revolutionary Contributions

Foundationalism

Established the model of knowledge as a structure built on secure, indubitable foundations

Subjectivity

Placed the thinking subject at the center of philosophical inquiry

Dualism

Developed the influential mind-body distinction that would dominate philosophy for centuries

Criticisms and Responses

Later philosophers raised important objections to Descartes' approach:

The Cartesian Circle: Critics argue Descartes reasons in a circle—he uses God's existence to validate clear and distinct ideas, but he uses clear and distinct ideas to prove God's existence.

Other critics questioned whether the Cogito truly provides the kind of substantial foundation Descartes claimed, and whether his method of doubt was as comprehensive as he believed.

Descartes' Enduring Influence

Despite criticisms, Descartes' methodological skepticism established key problems that would occupy philosophers for centuries: the relationship between mind and body, the challenge of skepticism, the nature of certainty, and the foundations of knowledge. His emphasis on individual reason as the arbiter of truth helped pave the way for the Enlightenment.

Descartes' Rational Skepticism | Discourse on the Method (1637) | Philosophical Foundations of Modern Thought

Understanding Rational Numbers

Rational Numbers

Understanding numbers that can be expressed as fractions

What Are Rational Numbers?

A rational number is any number that can be expressed as the quotient or fraction p/q of two integers, where p is the numerator and q is the denominator, with the condition that q ≠ 0.

Rational numbers include all integers, fractions, and terminating or repeating decimals. They form a dense set, meaning between any two rational numbers, there exists another rational number.

Examples of Rational Numbers:

Integers: 5 (which can be written as 5/1), -3 (as -3/1), 0 (as 0/1)

Fractions: 1/2, 3/4, -7/8

Terminating decimals: 0.75 (which is 3/4), 2.5 (which is 5/2)

Repeating decimals: 0.333... (which is 1/3), 0.1666... (which is 1/6)

Visualizing Rational Numbers

Rational numbers can be visualized on a number line. Each rational number corresponds to a unique point on the line, though interestingly, there are points on the number line that don't correspond to rational numbers (these are irrational numbers).

1/4
1/2
1
3/2
7/4

Fraction Visualization

Fractions represent parts of a whole. The denominator shows how many equal parts the whole is divided into, and the numerator shows how many of those parts we're considering.

1/2

One half

2/3

Two thirds

3/4

Three quarters

Properties of Rational Numbers

Property Description Example
Closure The sum, difference, or product of any two rational numbers is also a rational number. 1/2 + 1/3 = 5/6
Commutativity Order doesn't matter in addition or multiplication. 1/2 + 1/3 = 1/3 + 1/2
Associativity Grouping doesn't matter in addition or multiplication. (1/2 + 1/3) + 1/4 = 1/2 + (1/3 + 1/4)
Distributivity Multiplication distributes over addition. 1/2 × (1/3 + 1/4) = (1/2 × 1/3) + (1/2 × 1/4)
Identity Elements 0 is the additive identity, 1 is the multiplicative identity. 1/2 + 0 = 1/2, 1/2 × 1 = 1/2
Inverse Elements Every rational has an additive inverse, every nonzero rational has a multiplicative inverse. Additive inverse of 1/2 is -1/2, multiplicative inverse is 2/1

Operations with Rational Numbers

Try It Yourself: Add Two Fractions

Enter two fractions to see their sum:

/ + /

How to Perform Operations:

Addition/Subtraction: Find a common denominator, then add/subtract numerators.

Multiplication: Multiply numerators together and denominators together.

Division: Multiply by the reciprocal of the divisor.

Rational vs. Irrational Numbers

While rational numbers can be expressed as fractions of integers, irrational numbers cannot. Irrational numbers have decimal expansions that neither terminate nor become periodic.

Examples of Irrational Numbers:

√2, π (pi), e (Euler's number), φ (the golden ratio)

These numbers cannot be expressed as simple fractions and their decimal representations go on forever without repeating.

Rational Numbers Explained | Mathematics Education Resource

René Descartes' Mathematical Contributions

René Descartes' Contributions to Mathematics

While René Descartes is most famous as the "Father of Modern Philosophy," his contributions to mathematics were revolutionary and foundational. The most significant is, without doubt, the invention of analytic geometry, which fundamentally changed the practice of mathematics.

1. Analytic Geometry: The Unification of Algebra and Geometry

This is Descartes' monumental contribution, primarily published in his 1637 appendix to Discourse on the Method, titled "La Géométrie."

The Unification of Algebra and Geometry

The Core Insight

Before Descartes, algebra and geometry were largely separate disciplines. He demonstrated that geometric curves could be represented by algebraic equations and vice-versa, creating a powerful synthesis of these two major branches of mathematics.

The Cartesian Method

He introduced the use of a coordinate system (though not the modern perpendicular y-axis we use today) to assign coordinates (x, y) to points on a plane. A curve could then be described as an equation involving x and y.

The Impact of Unification

This revolutionary approach unified the power of Greek geometric intuition with the computational power of Arabic algebra. It allowed geometric problems to be solved algebraically and algebraic relations to be visualized geometrically, opening entirely new avenues for mathematical discovery.

2. Cartesian Coordinates: The Framework for Modern Mathematics

The coordinate system named after him (Cartesian coordinates) is the direct result of his work in analytic geometry.

The Coordinate Framework

Descartes established the use of two reference lines (axes) to define the position of any point in a plane. The distance of a point from these axes are its coordinates (x, y).

The Power of Representation

This coordinate system provided a universal language for describing spatial relationships and became the bedrock for virtually all higher mathematics and mathematical physics. Every graph plotted, every function visualized, relies on this fundamental concept.

3. The Convention of Exponents and Variables

In "La Géométrie," Descartes also introduced crucial notational conventions that we still use today, standardizing mathematical expression.

Variable Notation

He used letters from the beginning of the alphabet (a, b, c...) for known constants and letters from the end of the alphabet (x, y, z...) for unknown variables. This convention is why we typically solve for "x" in equations.

Exponential Notation

Descartes introduced the modern notation for positive integer exponents. For example, he wrote instead of the cumbersome "x x x." This systematized and simplified the expression of polynomials and algebraic equations.

4. The Rule of Signs for Polynomial Roots

Descartes published a significant rule for determining the number of positive and negative real roots of a polynomial equation.

Descartes' Rule of Signs

The rule states that the number of positive real roots of a polynomial is either equal to the number of sign changes between consecutive non-zero coefficients, or less than it by an even number. A similar rule applies for determining negative roots.

Practical Application

This rule provides mathematicians with a valuable tool for understanding the behavior of polynomial equations without solving them completely, offering insights into the nature of their solutions.

5. Foundations for Calculus

While Newton and Leibniz are credited with the invention of calculus, Descartes' work was a critical precursor that made calculus possible.

Tangents to Curves

Descartes developed a method for finding the normal (perpendicular) to a curve at a given point, from which the tangent could easily be derived. This was a direct step toward the differential calculus concept of the derivative.

Algebraic Geometry as Prerequisite

By representing curves as equations, analytic geometry provided the essential objects (functions) that calculus would later analyze and differentiate. Without Descartes' unification of algebra and geometry, the development of calculus would have been significantly more difficult.

Descartes gave mathematics its universal language—the language of coordinates and equations that could describe the physical world.
Area of Contribution Specific Innovation Significance and Legacy
Analytic Geometry Unification of algebra and geometry via coordinate systems Revolutionized mathematics; created the essential language for modern science, engineering, and computer graphics
Coordinate Systems Development of Cartesian coordinates (x, y) Provided the universal framework for graphing, spatial analysis, and function visualization
Mathematical Notation Convention of x, y, z for unknowns; modern exponential notation (x², x³) Standardized and simplified algebraic expression, making advanced mathematics more accessible and systematic
Polynomial Theory Descartes' Rule of Signs Provides a practical tool for predicting the nature of polynomial roots without complete factorization
Pre-Calculus Method for finding tangents/normals to curves Paved the conceptual way for the development of differential calculus by Newton and Leibniz

Conclusion: The Architect of Mathematical Language

Descartes' contribution to mathematics was to provide its universal language. By creating analytic geometry, he gave mathematicians and scientists a powerful tool to visualize equations and solve geometric problems algebraically. Every graph ever plotted, every function ever visualized, and much of the mathematical machinery behind physics, engineering, and computer science rests squarely on the foundation he laid in "La Géométrie." His work transformed mathematics from a collection of separate techniques into a unified, powerful language for describing the world.

René Descartes: Philosophical Contributions

René Descartes: Father of Modern Philosophy

"I think, therefore I am."
— The foundational axiom of modern philosophy

1. Foundationalism and the Method of Radical Doubt

Descartes sought to establish philosophy on a foundation as secure as mathematics. To accomplish this revolutionary goal, he employed a method of radical doubt in his seminal work, Meditations on First Philosophy.

The Strategy of Systematic Doubt

He resolved to systematically doubt everything that could possibly be doubted—sensory perceptions that can deceive us, the reality of dreams, and even logical truths that could potentially be the work of an "evil demon" dedicated to deceiving him.

The Ultimate Objective

The goal was not to remain in a state of permanent skepticism but to discover a single, indubitable truth that could serve as an "Archimedean point" upon which to reconstruct all human knowledge with absolute certainty.

2. Cogito Ergo Sum: The Foundation of Certainty

COGITO ERGO SUM
I Think, Therefore I Am

The Discovery of the Thinking Self

Descartes realized that even if he doubted everything, he could not doubt that he was engaged in the act of doubting itself. The very process of thinking necessarily presupposes a thinking subject.

The First Principle of Philosophy

"I think, therefore I am" became the first certain and undeniable truth of his system. The thinking self (res cogitans) emerged as the primary reality that could be known with absolute certainty, establishing the individual conscious mind as the proper starting point for all philosophy.

3. Mind-Body Dualism: The Metaphysical Framework

Building upon the certainty of the Cogito, Descartes developed his profound and influential metaphysical theory of substance dualism.

Two Distinct Substances

He argued that reality consists of two fundamentally distinct and independent substances:

Mind (Res Cogitans): Characterized by thought, consciousness, and non-spatial existence. It is indivisible and immaterial.

Body (Res Extensa): Characterized by extension in space and mechanical motion. It is divisible and operates according to physical laws.

The Mind-Body Problem

This radical dualism created the famous "mind-body problem": How can an immaterial, non-spatial mind interact with and cause changes in a material, spatial body, and vice versa? Descartes tentatively suggested the pineal gland as the interaction point, but this remains the most criticized aspect of his philosophy.

4. The Criterion of Truth: Clear and Distinct Perception

Having established the existence of the thinking self, Descartes needed a reliable criterion to distinguish truth from falsehood for rebuilding the edifice of knowledge.

The Rule of Truth

He proposed that whatever he perceived clearly and distinctly must be true.

Definitions of Clarity and Distinctness

A "clear" perception is one that is present and accessible to the attentive mind. A "distinct" perception is one that is so precise and separate from all other perceptions that it contains only what is clear.

5. Proofs for the Existence of God

Descartes employed his new criterion of clear and distinct perception to prove the existence of God, which was essential for his system to escape solipsism.

The Causal Argument

I possess an idea of an infinite, perfect being. As a finite and imperfect being, I could not be the cause of this idea of perfection. Only an actually infinite and perfect being could have caused such an idea to exist within me. Therefore, God must exist.

The Ontological Argument

Existence is a perfection. God is, by definition, a supremely perfect being. Therefore, God must possess all perfections, including existence. Thus, God necessarily exists.

6. The Establishment of the External World

With God's existence established as a non-deceiver, Descartes could then rebuild his belief in the reality of the external world.

The Bridge to Reality

Since God is not a deceiver, my strong and involuntary inclination to believe that my sensory ideas are caused by external physical objects must be true. A deceptive God would be incompatible with divine perfection.

Mechanistic Physics

This allowed him to develop a thoroughly mechanistic view of the physical world, where all material phenomena could be explained by the motion and impact of particles governed by mathematical laws.

7. The Founding of Modern Rationalism

Descartes stands as the founding father of the philosophical school of Rationalism.

The Primacy of Reason

Rationalism emphasizes reason, rather than sensory experience, as the primary source and ultimate test of genuine knowledge.

The Doctrine of Innate Ideas

He argued that the mind is not a blank slate but comes equipped with certain innate ideas—such as the idea of God, infinity, and geometric axioms—that make certain knowledge possible.

Philosophical Domain Core Contribution Historical Significance
Epistemology
Theory of Knowledge
Method of Doubt; Cogito Ergo Sum; Clear & Distinct Ideas Shifted philosophy's starting point to the individual knowing subject and established the pursuit of absolute certainty as the primary epistemological goal.
Metaphysics
Nature of Reality
Substance Dualism (Mind-Body Distinction) Defined the modern philosophical problem of consciousness and its relationship to the physical world, setting the agenda for centuries of debate.
Philosophy of Religion Causal and Ontological Proofs for God's Existence Provided rational arguments for God's existence independent of revelation, making theology a legitimate subject for philosophical debate.
Philosophy of Science Mechanistic View of Nature; Mathematical Physics Paved the way for modern science by removing Aristotelian "final causes" and viewing the physical world as a mathematically describable machine.
Philosophical Schools Founding Rationalism Established the rationalist tradition in direct opposition to British Empiricism, creating one of the central dialectics in modern philosophy.

The Cartesian Legacy

Descartes's contributions were truly foundational. He established the autonomy of human reason as the supreme judge of truth, championed a mathematical and mechanistic model of science, and set the fundamental agenda for modern philosophy with the enduring problems of certainty, the mind-body relationship, and the proper foundations of knowledge. Every major philosopher who followed him—whether rationalist, empiricist, or idealist—had to contend with the philosophical framework he so brilliantly established.

— René Descartes (1596–1650)

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